The number is the easy part.
Anyone can tell you an option is worth eleven dollars. We show you the formula that produced it, hand you every variable, and let you break it — because a figure you cannot interrogate is a figure you should not trade on.
How much of a bankroll to risk on a bet with a real edge, and why more is not always better.
The most recent analysis.
SanDisk is up nearly 30x in a year, Micron +709%, Seagate +386% - an AI-driven memory shortage confirmed by real contract pricing and sold-out capacity, not just sentiment. Here's the real data and a Kelly Criterion framework for sizing a position in stocks this volatile.
Aug 31, 2026Stripe and Advent International abandoned their $53B buyout of PayPal after the stock rallied past their $60.50/share offer. Here's the deal math, the market reaction, and what it means for PYPL from here.
Aug 31, 2026An honest comparison of TradingView and TrendSpider for charting and backtesting.
Aug 28, 2026What four real drivers say about Apple right now.
Aug 28, 2026The August 2026 PCE report hasn't been published by the BEA yet. July's reading held flat at 3.7%, and Treasury and TIPS pricing suggest August lands close to that level.
Aug 28, 2026What readers open most.
JPMorgan kicks off 2026 earnings season. We analyze net interest income forecasts and CEO Dimon's guidance on the soft landing.
Aug 7, 2026Screened for pricing power dividend growth and low beta. Fundamental scores valuation vs history and portfolio fit.
Aug 17, 2026Support/resistance zones 50/200-DMA confluence and implied volatility skew for SPX options after inflation print.
Aug 17, 2026Analysis warns AI-driven productivity bets are pushing bond yields higher threatening equity valuations. Risk scenario breakdown.
Aug 17, 2026Nvidia carries the S&P 500's largest short position at $62.5B ahead of earnings; options show 2:1 call/put skew. Forward P/E 17.6 vs trailing.
Aug 16, 2026The format changes. The disassembly never does.
A weekend risk note and a pre-earnings brief want different structures. Each one still names the model it reasons with. Nothing is asserted that a reader cannot inspect.
Before the event
What consensus expects, where it could be wrong, and the one figure that would change the view.
What breaks the level
Downside first. Named triggers, the mechanism each one travels through, and the price it implies.
Entry, stop, target
Levels derived from real range data, with the reasoning behind each stated rather than drawn.
Four drivers, fast
The short read. What moved, why, and what would have to hold for it to keep moving.
The full thesis
A scenario ladder with probabilities, the model behind the target, and the conditions under which it fails.
Software, not stocks
Honest comparisons of the platforms traders actually use, answering the question someone typed into a search bar - not a ticker in sight.
Every figure traces back to a primary source.
Not a vendor's restated number, and not something lifted from a search result. Charts are drawn directly from the series below, which is why a chart on this site cannot claim something the data does not.
US Treasury
The daily par yield curve, one month to thirty years, and the 10Y–2Y spread behind every rates argument we make.
SEC EDGAR
Revenue, earnings and balance-sheet figures read from the XBRL in the filing itself.
Federal Reserve
Policy rates, CPI, breakeven inflation and unemployment, as published.
Working papers
Theory from NBER, the Fed, the ECB, the BIS and arXiv q-fin — open-access research, cited where it is used.
